Tracking the tropics
Posted by cat5shuttersllc on June 18, 2014
Quick Summary:- Currently no tropical cyclones anywhere in the world
– Weak disturbance near Florida bringing showers and thunderstorms there; not currently showing signs of tropical development
– Eastern Pacific system could eventually develop, but not doing so yet
ATLANTIC, CARIBBEAN, GULF OF MEXICO
There’s an area of showers and thunderstorms with some twist evident on satellite/radar loops over the northwest Bahamas and parts of the Florida peninsula.
A couple earlier runs of the RPM model were eye-catching, showing the system spinning like a top and heading into Florida on Thursday.
Every once in a while one of these things at this time of year will quickly turn into a tropical depression or storm, and on general principle we keep an eye on systems in such close proximity to the U.S.; however there is currently no surface circulation (the rotation is ~2-4 miles up) and surface pressures in the area are higher than what is typically conducive to tropical cyclone formation, and for now that has to be considered a long shot.
We’ll monitor and let you know if that changes; regardless, cloud-to-ground lightning and locally heavy rain will be hazards from the thunderstorms, typical of summer in Florida.
Nothing else new to report in the Atlantic, Caribbean, or Gulf.