Hurrican Shutters

Installing "Peace of Mind"

The Worst is Yet to Come With the Atlantic Hurricane Season

Posted by cat5shuttersllc on August 15, 2012

The Worst is Yet to Come With the Atlantic Hurricane Season

Astronaut Ron Garan snapped this photo of Hurricane Irene from aboard the International Space Station on Aug. 22, 2011. NOAA averages are based on data from 1981-2010. This was the initial AccuWeather 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast graphic released on April 26, 2012.

The tropics will become more active from the middle of August through the middle of September with an uptick in the number of named storms. This is the normal peak time of the Atlantic hurricane season.

The U.S. may be impacted by two more named tropical systems, according to AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski. The central Gulf Coast to the southern Virginia coast is most likely to get hit. Once again, Florida could be susceptible.

Flooding from Tropical Storm Debby in St. Petersburg, Fla. Photo was tweeted by Renee Greco.

The chances are lower for the western Gulf coast and northern Atlantic coast to endure a direct landfall of a named tropical system, but they are not immune. Even if a storm does not make landfall in these areas, there can still be impact of flooding rainfall far from where storms move inland.

A gradual fading of the season will occur during October, depending on how fast and strong El Niño comes on. El Niño is a phenomenon characterized by above-normal water temperatures across the central and equatorial Pacific. Water temperatures are warming in the Pacific with the pattern trending toward a weak El Niño.

When an El Niño pattern develops, it forces strong westerly winds high in the atmosphere to shift farther south across the Atlantic. More frequent episodes of high wind shear inhibit tropical development by preventing vertical building of clouds and a well-defined center.

From mid-August through much of September, a large expanse of the Atlantic Basin is ripe for tropical development. Some of the storms in future weeks may come from strong waves of low pressure that emerge from the African continent. Others can form near the Bahamas, in the Caribbean or in the Gulf of Mexico. These disturbances soak up ocean moisture like a sponge, and heat energy released from condensation is what causes the storms to intensify.

 

Distributed by Viestly

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